On the Verizon iPhone

The media loves this nonsense because it generates pageviews, so they've been reliably putting out the same crap every few months for the past three years.  

A Verizon iPhone is unlikely now for the same reasons it's always been unlikely:
  • Verizon's CDMA is a dying technology. It's GSM that is used far more widely internationally, so it's no surprise the iPhone launched with GSM. The market for CDMA is US-centric and far too small; I think it's much more likely the next iPhone will skip CDMA entirely and launch with LTE.
  • On CDMA, you cannot place a voice call and use data simultaneously. Apple (and AT&T) ran a national advertising campaign explicitly calling out this weakness in CDMA.
  • Apple tests many more products than they release. I'm sure there has been a CDMA iPhone, but that's no guarantee it will launch as a product.
  • AT&T sucks in NYC and SF, where most of the tech press lives. A huge sample bias.
If Apple does a CDMA anything, I think it'll be an iPad.

(Update: I was wrong. :)

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